{"id":1914,"date":"2025-06-28T13:40:20","date_gmt":"2025-06-28T13:40:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/2025\/06\/28\/3-stock-setups-for-the-second-half-of-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-06-28T13:40:20","modified_gmt":"2025-06-28T13:40:20","slug":"3-stock-setups-for-the-second-half-of-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/2025\/06\/28\/3-stock-setups-for-the-second-half-of-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"3 Stock Setups for the Second Half of 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>As we head into the second half of 2025, here are three stocks that present strong technical setups with favorable risk\/reward profiles. One is the largest market cap stock we&#8217;re familiar with, which bodes well for the market in general. The second is an old tech giant that&#8217;s making a comeback. The third is a beaten-down S&amp;P 500 name that may be ready to rally.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s dive into these three stocks.<\/p>\n<h2>NVIDIA (NVDA) is Leading the Market<\/h2>\n<p>Nvidia (NVDA) shares have finally broken out and closed above $150, a level we&#8217;ve been closely watching. With price action above that resistance threshold, NVDA&#8217;s stock price has room to run.<\/p>\n<p>DeepSeek and tariff concerns seem to be in the rearview mirror. The fundamental positives are continued earnings growth, continued large tech cap-ex spend, and, more recently, Jensen Huang&#8217;s unveiling of a cute robot he feels could be the next big thing.<\/p>\n<p>Technically, this move has legs, and we have the patterns and history to show for it. The risk\/reward set-up is now quite favorable. Let&#8217;s break it down.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>Over the last five years, there have been periods of consolidation (green boxes) and then significant breakouts to the upside. In all cases, shares became overbought according to the <a href=\"https:\/\/chartschool.stockcharts.com\/table-of-contents\/technical-indicators-and-overlays\/technical-indicators\/relative-strength-index-rsi\" target=\"_blank\">relative strength index<\/a> (RSI). But overbought doesn&#8217;t mean NVDA&#8217;s stock price will reverse. During uptrends, overbought conditions can last for quite some time, as they did after the prior two significant breakouts.<\/p>\n<p>With the official breakout above $150 and RSI again reading over 70, history suggests an extended rally is in the cards. A gain of 25\u201330% from current levels and a run to $200 is likely.<\/p>\n<p>The downside risk is to the $150 level, from which shares just broke out. If this move is just a head fake, then use that level as a stop to limit your losses. This risk\/reward set-up is why we believe this is one to own for the back half of 2025.<\/p>\n<h2>Cisco Systems (CSCO) Finds New Life<\/h2>\n<p>Old-timers like me may remember what a high flyer Cisco Systems (CSCO) once was. It&#8217;s been a member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) since June 2009, and shares have struggled to sustain any upward momentum until lately.<\/p>\n<p>Fundamentally, the company continued to grow through acquisition. Now, those deals are starting to help their bottom line, namely the $28 billion acquisition of Splunk that closed in 2024.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Technically \u2014 and that&#8217;s what we care about on the StockCharts platform \u2014 we can have some fun.<\/p>\n<p>Below is a 30-year chart going back to the dot-com boom. Cisco was one of Wall Street&#8217;s darlings and climbed astronomically before falling from the skies. It has struggled to revisit those levels, but that could change soon.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>Switching to a smaller time frame \u2014 a three-year weekly chart (see below) \u2014 we are seeing great set-ups as we head into the back half of 2025.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>CSCO&#8217;s stock price consolidated between $43 and $55 for 15 months and broke out in late 2024. Shares rallied and then pulled back to old resistance (now support) at $55 and began their climb back.<\/p>\n<p>Now shares are breaking out again. An upside target of $82, the all-time high set back during the dot-com era, is within reach and may just get there by year-end. The risk\/reward seems favorable and, given the run in tech and cyber stocks which CSCO represents, the momentum is there to reach those highs.<\/p>\n<h2>Generac&#8217;s Power Play<\/h2>\n<p>Welcome to hurricane season! It lasts from June 1st to November 30. Generac (GNRC), a leader in home backup power, tends to perform well during weather extremes. It isn&#8217;t always the primary catalyst for rallies over the long term in the stock, but it can spur short-term rallies.<\/p>\n<p>Last week, as much of the country was in the middle of a heat wave, GNRC had the best week of gains since November 2024, rallying nearly 12%. The trend change seems to be underway. Shares are lower by -8.1% year-to-date, and there&#8217;s room to run.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>However, the charts are showing signs of life. Let&#8217;s keep this one as simple as possible.<\/p>\n<p> The stock broke its longer-term downtrend (red line)<\/p>\n<p> Shares have made a consistent set of higher lows (green uptrend)<\/p>\n<p> Shares recaptured their 50-day moving average<\/p>\n<p> Shares consolidated in an ascending triangle and broke out<\/p>\n<p> Shares tested and failed to recapture their 200-day moving average<\/p>\n<p>Progress is being made. The trend has changed, there&#8217;s something to reverse, and seasonal factors and reduced tariff concerns are a true tailwind.<\/p>\n<p>Shares could easily pull back \u2014 a flag, if you will \u2014 to the $135 area, but should be a great entry point from a risk\/reward perspective. Overall, shares are poised to continue reversing that longer-term downtrend, and could be a good addition to the portfolio for the end of 2025.<\/p>\n<h2>The Bottom Line<\/h2>\n<p>Each of these stocks offers a viable investment strategy with favorable risk-to-reward ratios. If you&#8217;re going to enter a position, use clearly-defined stop levels to manage your risks.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As we head into the second half of 2025, here are three stocks that present strong technical setups with favorable risk\/reward profiles. One is the largest market cap stock we&#8217;re familiar with, which bodes well for the market in general. The second is an old tech giant that&#8217;s making a comeback. The third is a&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1915,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1914","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stock"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1914","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1914"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1914\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1915"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1914"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1914"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1914"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}