{"id":1136,"date":"2025-05-28T13:39:59","date_gmt":"2025-05-28T13:39:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/28\/the-best-five-sectors-20\/"},"modified":"2025-05-28T13:39:59","modified_gmt":"2025-05-28T13:39:59","slug":"the-best-five-sectors-20","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/28\/the-best-five-sectors-20\/","title":{"rendered":"The Best Five Sectors, #20"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<h2>Technology Back in Top-5<\/h2>\n<p>Last week&#8217;s market decline of 2-2.5% (depending on the index) has led to some notable shifts in sector performance and rankings. <\/p>\n<p>This pullback, coming after a strong rally, is changing the order of highs and lows on the weekly chart &#8212; a particularly significant development, at least for me. <\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s dive into the details and see what&#8217;s flying around in the market.<\/p>\n<p>The composition of the top five sectors has seen some notable changes. Here&#8217;s how it stands now:<\/p>\n<p>The big surprise here is Technology making its way into the top five, displacing Consumer Staples (now at #6). This shift suggests a gradual move from a more defensive positioning to sectors that are more cyclical and economically sensitive.<\/p>\n<p>Another eye-catching move comes from Consumer Discretionary, jumping from #10 to #7 &#8212; a significant leap, albeit still in the bottom half of the ranking. Real Estate and Materials saw minor shifts, while Energy dropped to #10 and Health Care remains at #11.<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>(1) Industrials &#8211; (XLI)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>(4) Communication Services &#8211; (XLC)*<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>(3) Utilities &#8211; (XLU)<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>(2) Financials &#8211; (XLF)*<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>(6) Technology &#8211; (XLK)*<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><em>(5) Consumer Staples &#8211; (XLP)*<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>(10) Consumer Discretionary &#8211; (XLY)*<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>(7) Real-Estate &#8211; (XLRE)*<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>(8) Materials &#8211; (XLB)*<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>(9) Energy &#8211; (XLE)*<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>(11) Healthcare &#8211; (XLV)<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2>Weekly\/Daily RRG Analysis<\/h2>\n<p>The weekly Relative Rotation Graph (RRG) provides some interesting insights:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Utilities maintains very high readings, but Consumer Staples (highest on RS-Ratio ranking) is likely to be pushed down by weak daily chart readings.<\/li>\n<li>Industrials continues to push further into the leading quadrant with stable momentum.<\/li>\n<li>Financials and Communication Services are inside the weakening quadrant but have room to curl back towards leading.<\/li>\n<li>Technology, despite having the second-lowest RS-Ratio reading, is rapidly improving with a strong RS-Momentum heading over recent weeks.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Remember, the ranking combines daily and weekly readings. <\/p>\n<p>Technology&#8217;s high daily chart reading is propelling it into the top five, while Consumer Staples&#8217; weak daily reading is pushing it out.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<h4>Industrials: The Leader Holding Strong<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p>XLI is now pushing against its all-time high, just below 145. After two weeks of attempts, last week&#8217;s slight market decline confirms that this resistance level has worked. <\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;re now looking for where any potential decline might stop and form a new low. The gap area from two weeks ago seems to be a good support area to watch.<\/p>\n<p>The relative strength line breaking out of its consolidation formation continues to drag the RRG lines higher. XLI, for good reason, remains the strongest sector at the moment.<\/p>\n<h4>Communication Services: Stable Relative Uptrend<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p>XLC is continuing its move higher with remarkable stability. The uptrend in the RS line is still valid, currently testing the lower boundary of the rising channel. <\/p>\n<p>Due to the lack of upward relative momentum in recent weeks, both RRG lines are now pointing lower. <\/p>\n<p>However, the RS-Ratio line remains well above 100, keeping the XLC tail on the right-hand side of the RRG.<\/p>\n<h4>Utilities: Testing Resistance<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p>XLU is pushing against overhead resistance but has yet to manage a decisive break higher. <\/p>\n<p>With defensive sectors under pressure, it&#8217;s questionable whether this breakout will happen in the short term. <\/p>\n<p>The RS line versus SPY is dropping back into its trading range, unable to break away decisively. This drop is causing the RS-Momentum line to roll over and start pointing lower. <\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s the recent strength in relative strength that&#8217;s keeping Utilities inside the leading quadrant for now.<\/p>\n<h4>Financials: At a Crossroads<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p>The Financial sector seems to be respecting the old rising support line as resistance, with the market dropping off that line last week and now trading around $50. <\/p>\n<p>This move is affecting the relative strength line, which has returned to the lower boundary of the rising channel \u2014 a level that needs to hold to maintain a positive outlook for XLF.<\/p>\n<p>The RS-Ratio line is stable around 102.50, high enough to keep Financials on the right-hand side of the graph. <\/p>\n<p>The RS-Momentum line has just dropped below 100, positioning the XLF tail inside the weakening quadrant, but with enough room to curl back up before hitting lagging.<\/p>\n<h4>Technology: The Week&#8217;s Winner<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n<p>XLK saw a significant jump two weeks ago and has since returned to test the old resistance area as support. If last week&#8217;s decline continues, there&#8217;s a bit more room to the downside &#8212; $220 seems to be a good level to watch for support, marking the bottom of the gap range from two weeks ago.<\/p>\n<p>The jump has pushed the relative strength line above its falling resistance line, a good sign that seems to be breaking the relative downtrend in place since mid-last year. <\/p>\n<p>This is changing the characteristics of the relative strength move for the Technology sector. <\/p>\n<p>For now, it has only pushed the RS-Momentum line above 100, moving XLK into the improving quadrant on the weekly RRG, but it&#8217;s already starting to drag the RS-Ratio line higher.<\/p>\n<h2>Portfolio Performance<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;re clawing back some of the losses from recent weeks. The underperformance of almost 6% last week has now shrunk to 4.6%. Still behind the benchmark, but closing in again and narrowing the gap. <\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s a long-term game, so we keep pushing forward. So far, nothing out of the ordinary. Let&#8217;s wait and see whether we&#8217;ve seen the low in underperformance and how long it will take to return to SPY&#8217;s performance since inception.<\/p>\n<p>#StayAlert &#8211;Julius<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Technology Back in Top-5 Last week&#8217;s market decline of 2-2.5% (depending on the index) has led to some notable shifts in sector performance and rankings. This pullback, coming after a strong rally, is changing the order of highs and lows on the weekly chart &#8212; a particularly significant development, at least for me. Let&#8217;s dive&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1137,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1136","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stock"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1136","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1136"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1136\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1137"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1136"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1136"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thetradingdictionary.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1136"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}